Welsh attack not good enough

I think any Englishmen in Cardiff on Saturday night are going to have a night to remember.

It’s going to be incredibly close but I think the visitors are going to land a first Grand Slam in ten years at the wonderful Millennium Stadium.

God, England were poor against Italy. They kicked the ball to death and made loads of errors, showing little ambition but to just bosh it up.

But I haven’t seen much better from the Welsh this tournament either, apart from their comeback against the Irish in the first game.

Both teams have good defences and with their try-scoring records of late, I would be amazed if it wasn’t a goal-kicking fest.

The forwards will be evenly matched too and there is little between the sides on paper.

I just think the Welsh midfield is so painfully predictable and such a poor passing unit that I cannot see them breaking the English down. They have strong outside backs - but they have got to get the ball to them first!

I just don’t think Wales’ attack is good enough.

Stuart Lancaster has made the odd change from the dour outing against Italy but he has stuck with Chris Ashton again who, for me, should have dropped before the Italy game.

Some people have said it is too late to bring in a replacement for Ashton now. I don’t buy that. Anyone coming in is a professional player and they would be well prepared.

The rubbish that England served up last week against Italy hurt them because it now means that Wales can also win the tournament if they win by seven points and that is not beyond the realms of possibility.

But it will have also acted as a timely reminder of just how tough international rugby is and will make sure that some of England’s younger players go to Wales with no sense of complacency whatsoever.

The added factor this weekend is referee Steve Walsh who is a colourful character and unlikely to let the contest drift by without the odd controversial whistle.

He is a huge fan of open running rugby and doesn’t really like to get stuck into refereeing a scrummaging contest. If it’s tight and the game is won by a kick or two, you may hear his name long after the final whistle.

It’s been a bland Six Nations so far and I can see England strangling the life out of Wales and winning by a point or two.

Let’s say Wales 15 England 17.

I can’t guarantee that my prediction is going to be right for the Grand Slam decider but I can guarantee a bucketful of testosterone, fire and brimstone.

There may be a shortage of tries - but there won’t be a shortage of passion!

Read more blogs, including George Chuter on the scrum.

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